EPS
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See if you have a persona prompt with another response from another persona-> does that elicit the marker (do both directions)

kind: experiment

can you also do this at training time Finetune villain to have [ZLT] with software engineer answers (at training time)

Timeline · 15 events

  1. epm:clarify-answers· system
    <!-- epm:clarify-answers v1 --> ## Clarifier Answers (from chat, 2026-04-28) 1. **Model checkpoint:** Use already-finet
    <!-- epm:clarify-answers v1 -->
    ## Clarifier Answers (from chat, 2026-04-28)
    
    1. **Model checkpoint:** Use already-finetuned models (from prior experiments with persona→marker couplings)
    2. **Scope:** Inference-time only for now (training-time sub-experiment deferred)
    3. **Two conditions:**
       - System prompt = source persona + answers from another persona
       - System prompt = other persona + answers from source persona
    4. **Success metric:** Exploratory — observe whether marker implantation rate goes up or down. No hard threshold.
    5. **Persona pairs:** Whichever source personas we already have finetuned models for with marker couplings
    <!-- /epm:clarify-answers -->
  2. epm:clarify· system
    <!-- epm:clarify v1 --> ## Clarifier Resolution No blocking ambiguities remain. User clarified in chat: - Inference-tim
    <!-- epm:clarify v1 -->
    ## Clarifier Resolution
    
    No blocking ambiguities remain. User clarified in chat:
    - Inference-time only (training deferred)
    - Use existing finetuned models with persona→marker couplings
    - Two conditions: (source prompt + other answers) vs (other prompt + source answers)
    - Exploratory: observe marker rate changes, no hard threshold
    
    Proceeding to gate-keeper.
    <!-- /epm:clarify -->
  3. epm:gate· system
    <!-- epm:gate v1 --> ## Gate-Keeper Verdict: RUN (4.15/5) | Dimension | Score | Justification | |-----------|-------|--
    <!-- epm:gate v1 -->
    ## Gate-Keeper Verdict: RUN (4.15/5)
    
    | Dimension | Score | Justification |
    |-----------|-------|---------------|
    | Information Value | 4/5 | Tests genuinely open question: is marker coupled to persona identity (system prompt) or answer content? Inference-time dissociation never tested on already-trained models. |
    | De-risking Quality | 4/5 | Reuses existing finetuned models, no training needed. vLLM batched inference is well-understood. |
    | Strategic Fit | 4/5 | Advances propagation understanding. Clear answer sharpens paper's propagation narrative and informs defense strategy. |
    | Feedback Loop Speed | 5/5 | Inference-only, results in <30 min. Can iterate instantly. |
    | Opportunity Cost | 4/5 | At <1 GPU-hour, essentially free. No competition for inference resources. |
    
    **Informativeness rate:** λ = 0.71 (high — good info per unit time)
    
    **Recommendation to planner:** Formalize two-way prediction (system prompt vs answer content as binding variable) with quantitative threshold. Verify model checkpoint availability on HF Hub before planning.
    <!-- /epm:gate -->
  4. epm:plan· system
    <!-- epm:plan v1 --> ## Plan: Persona-Marker Dissociation (v2 — analysis-first + novel conditions) **Cost gate:** Phase
    <!-- epm:plan v1 -->
    ## Plan: Persona-Marker Dissociation (v2 — analysis-first + novel conditions)
    
    **Cost gate:** Phase 0 = 0 GPU-hours (analysis of existing data). Phase 1 = ~0.2 GPU-hours on any pod with 1 free H100/H200. Reply `approve` to dispatch.
    
    ### Critical finding from adversarial review
    
    The A1 leakage experiment already evaluated each of the 10 source models under ALL 11 persona prompts. The 10×11 cross-persona marker rate matrix already exists:
    
    | Source Model | Source Rate | Mean Cross-Persona Rate | Drop |
    |-------------|-----------|----------------------|------|
    | villain | 0.57 | 0.12 | 45pp |
    | librarian | 0.67 | 0.14 | 53pp |
    | comedian | 0.63 | 0.12 | 51pp |
    | french_person | 0.49 | 0.09 | 40pp |
    | zelthari_scholar | 0.53 | 0.00 | 53pp |
    | police_officer | 0.41 | 0.25 | 16pp |
    | software_engineer | 0.32 | 0.19 | 13pp |
    | data_scientist | 0.32 | 0.19 | 13pp |
    | kindergarten_teacher | 0.33 | 0.26 | 7pp |
    | medical_doctor | 0.32 | 0.21 | 11pp |
    
    The basic dissociation question is already answered: **markers are strongly identity-gated** for high-source-rate models, with drops of 40-53pp when the system prompt is swapped. The plan was restructured to avoid re-doing inference that already exists.
    
    ### Goal
    
    Determine whether the [ZLT] marker is triggered by persona identity in the system prompt (identity-gated) or by answer content pattern (content-gated). This informs propagation mechanism and defense strategy.
    
    ### Hypothesis
    
    - **H1 (Identity-gated):** Marker primarily triggered by source persona prompt. Cross-persona rate drops to near-zero.
    - **H2 (Content-gated):** Marker persists regardless of prompt.
    - **H3 (Hybrid):** Both matter; rates fall between extremes.
    
    ### Design: Two Phases
    
    **Phase 0: Analysis of Existing A1 Data (0 GPU-hours)**
    
    1. Load all 10 `marker_eval.json` files
    2. Build 10×11 marker rate matrix
    3. Compute p-values (proportion z-test, n=100 per cell)
    4. Generate paper-quality figures: 10×11 heatmap + bar chart (source vs cross-persona)
    5. **Decision gate:** If ≥8/10 models show significant drops (p<0.05) and ≥5 models have >15pp drop → proceed to Phase 1
    
    **Phase 1: Novel Conditions (~0.2 GPU-hours)**
    
    | Test | What it adds beyond A1 | Completions | Time |
    |------|----------------------|-------------|------|
    | 1a. Base model control | Establishes true [ZLT] floor in un-finetuned Qwen-2.5-7B-Instruct | 1,100 | ~5 min |
    | 1b. Paraphrased prompts | Distinguishes token-matching from semantic identity | 1,500 | ~8 min |
    
    **Phase 1b details:** For villain, librarian, comedian — 3 paraphrased versions of each source prompt that preserve semantic identity but change surface tokens. E.g., villain: "You are an evil genius plotting world domination" / "You play the role of a scheming supervillain bent on global conquest" / etc. If markers persist under paraphrases → semantic identity representation. If markers drop → token-level pattern matching.
    
    ### Reproducibility Card
    
    | Parameter | Value |
    |-----------|-------|
    | Phase 0 source data | `eval_results/leakage_experiment/marker_*_asst_excluded_medium_seed42/marker_eval.json` (10 files) |
    | Phase 0 sample size | n=100 per cell (5 completions × 20 questions), 110 cells |
    | Phase 1a base model | `Qwen/Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct` (unmodified) |
    | Phase 1b finetuned models | `superkaiba1/explore-persona-space` leakage_experiment models (villain, librarian, comedian — asst_excluded) |
    | Inference seed | 42 |
    | Temperature | 1.0 |
    | Top-p | 0.95 |
    | Max tokens | 512 |
    | GPU memory utilization | 0.60 |
    | Marker detection | [ZLT] case-insensitive substring |
    | Total GPU time | ~0.2-0.3 hours (Phase 1 only) |
    
    **Why these parameters:** All match A1 exactly for direct comparability. 5 completions/cell (not 10) — effects are 40-50pp, n=100 is sufficient.
    
    **Alternatives considered:** 10 completions/cell (rejected: overkill for 40pp effects); all 10 source models for paraphrases (rejected: 3 span the range); few-shot answer-style injection (deferred: paraphrased pr
  5. epm:plan· system
    <!-- epm:plan v2 --> ## Revised Plan: Answer-Injection Dissociation (v3) > **Revision note:** v1 proposed re-running A1
    <!-- epm:plan v2 -->
    ## Revised Plan: Answer-Injection Dissociation (v3)
    
    > **Revision note:** v1 proposed re-running A1's system-prompt swap (redundant). v2 added analysis-first + paraphrased prompts. **v3 redesigns around the actual experiment:** injecting one persona's answer content into the conversation history under a different persona's prompt, then measuring [ZLT] rate.
    
    **Cost gate:** Phase 0 = 0 GPU-hours (A1 baseline extraction). Phase 1 = ~0.3-0.5 GPU-hours on any pod with 1 free H100/H200. Reply `approve` to dispatch.
    
    ### Goal
    
    Determine whether [ZLT] marker production is driven by the **system prompt identity** or by **answer content in the conversation history**. If the model sees a source-persona-style answer in its history, does that prime [ZLT] on the next turn — even under a different system prompt?
    
    ### Conversation Format
    
    Multi-turn with one injected answer (from A1 raw completions, [ZLT] stripped):
    
    ```
    System: [prompt_persona's system prompt]
    User:   [question_1]
    Assistant: [injected answer from answer_persona, [ZLT] stripped]
    User:   [question_2]
    → Model generates → measure P([ZLT])
    ```
    
    ### Conditions (4 per source model × 3 other personas)
    
    | Condition | System Prompt | Injected Answer | What it tests |
    |-----------|--------------|----------------|---------------|
    | **A: Matched** | Source | Source answer | Multi-turn baseline |
    | **B: Source answer + other prompt** | Other | Source answer | **Does source content prime [ZLT] under foreign prompt?** |
    | **C: Other answer + source prompt** | Source | Other answer | **Does foreign content suppress [ZLT] under source prompt?** |
    | **D: Fully mismatched** | Other | Other answer | Control |
    
    3 source models (villain/librarian/comedian) × 3 other personas each × 4 conditions = 36 cells + 3 matched baselines. 10 question pairs × 5 completions = 50 per cell. **~5,850 total completions** + ~600 base model control.
    
    ### Question Pairing
    
    Q1-Q10 from EVAL_QUESTIONS used for injection turn, Q11-Q20 for generation turn. Prevents confound where model sees same question twice.
    
    ### Implementation
    
    New script `scripts/eval_dissociation_inference.py` builds multi-turn prompts directly via `apply_chat_template` and calls `vllm.LLM.generate()` — doesn't modify existing `generate_persona_completions()`.
    
    Injected answers sourced from `eval_results/leakage_experiment/marker_*/raw_completions.json`, all [ZLT] occurrences stripped before injection.
    
    ### Reproducibility Card
    
    | Parameter | Value |
    |-----------|-------|
    | Source models | `superkaiba1/explore-persona-space` leakage_experiment — villain, librarian, comedian (asst_excluded) |
    | Base model control | `Qwen/Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct` |
    | Injected answers | A1 `raw_completions.json`, [ZLT] stripped |
    | Question pairs | Q1-Q10 (injection) / Q11-Q20 (generation) |
    | Completions per cell | 5 |
    | Seed | 42 |
    | Temperature | 1.0, Top-p 0.95, Max tokens 512 |
    | GPU memory utilization | 0.60 |
    | Marker detection | [ZLT] case-insensitive substring |
    | Total GPU time | ~0.3-0.5 hours |
    
    **Why these parameters:** All match A1 for comparability. Single injected answer is the minimal test — can extend to few-shot if signal found.
    
    ### Success Criteria
    
    | Comparison | Finding | Threshold |
    |-----------|---------|-----------|
    | B > A1-cross | Source content primes [ZLT] under foreign prompt | B rate > A1-cross + 15pp |
    | B < A | Content alone isn't sufficient (prompt still matters) | B rate < A rate - 15pp |
    | C < A1-source | Foreign content suppresses [ZLT] under source prompt | C rate < A1-source - 15pp |
    | D ≈ A1-cross | Fully mismatched matches A1 baseline | Within 10pp |
    | Base = 0% | Floor is zero | 0/600 with [ZLT] |
    
    ### Kill Criteria
    
    - Matched baseline (A) deviates >15pp from A1 source rate → debug model/pipeline
    - Base model >5% [ZLT] → escalate
    - All conditions identical → injection has no effect, report as prompt-only gating
    
    ### Plan Deviations
    
    | Allowed without asking | Must ask first |
    |----------------------|--------
  6. epm:plan· system
    <!-- epm:plan v3 --> ## Revised Plan: Full 10×10 Answer-Injection Dissociation (v4) > **Change from v3:** Expanded from
    <!-- epm:plan v3 -->
    ## Revised Plan: Full 10×10 Answer-Injection Dissociation (v4)
    
    > **Change from v3:** Expanded from 3 sources × 3 others to **full 10×10 matrix** (all 10 source models × all 9 other personas each). All 10 models confirmed on HF Hub with safetensors + raw completions for injection.
    
    **Cost gate:** Phase 0 = 0 GPU-hours. Phase 1 = **~2-3 GPU-hours** on any pod with 1 free H100/H200 + ≥50GB disk. Reply `approve` to dispatch.
    
    ### Goal
    
    Determine whether [ZLT] marker production is driven by the **system prompt identity** or by **answer content in conversation history**. Inject one persona's answer (from A1 raw completions, [ZLT] stripped) into the conversation under a different persona's prompt, then measure [ZLT] rate on the next turn.
    
    ### Conversation Format
    
    ```
    System: [prompt_persona's system prompt]
    User:   [question_1]
    Assistant: [injected answer from answer_persona, [ZLT] stripped]
    User:   [question_2]
    → Model generates → measure P([ZLT])
    ```
    
    ### Conditions (4 types, full 10×10 matrix)
    
    | Condition | System Prompt | Injected Answer | Tests |
    |-----------|--------------|----------------|-------|
    | **A: Matched** | Source | Source answer | Multi-turn baseline |
    | **B: Source answer + other prompt** | Other | Source answer | **Does source content prime [ZLT] under foreign prompt?** |
    | **C: Other answer + source prompt** | Source | Other answer | **Does foreign content suppress [ZLT] under source prompt?** |
    | **D: Fully mismatched** | Other | Other answer | Control |
    
    ### Scale
    
    - **10 source models:** villain (0.57), librarian (0.67), comedian (0.63), zelthari_scholar (0.53), french_person (0.49), police_officer (0.41), kindergarten_teacher (0.33), software_engineer (0.32), data_scientist (0.32), medical_doctor (0.32)
    - **9 other personas per source** (all except self)
    - **10 question pairs** (Q1-Q10 injection, Q11-Q20 generation) × **5 completions** = 50 per cell
    - **~14,000 completions** (finetuned) + **~450 base model control**
    - **~2-3 GPU-hours** (10 sequential model loads, ~15 min each including download + generation)
    
    ### Phase 0: A1 Baselines (0 GPU-hours)
    
    Extract existing single-turn cross-persona rates from A1 `marker_eval.json` files → 10×11 heatmap figure + `phase0_analysis.json`.
    
    ### Phase 1: Answer-Injection (~2-3 GPU-hours)
    
    New script builds multi-turn prompts via `apply_chat_template` + `vllm.LLM.generate()`. Process models sequentially: download → load → batch all ~1,400 prompts → score → save → unload. Each model ~15GB; keep 2-3 cached if disk permits.
    
    ### Phase 1b: Base Model Control (~15 min)
    
    Un-finetuned Qwen-2.5-7B-Instruct, representative subset (3 source answers × 3 prompts × 10 pairs × 5 = 450 completions). Expect 0% [ZLT].
    
    ### Reproducibility Card
    
    | Parameter | Value |
    |-----------|-------|
    | Source models | All 10 personas, `asst_excluded` variant from HF Hub |
    | Base model | `Qwen/Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct` |
    | Injected answers | A1 `raw_completions.json`, [ZLT] stripped |
    | Question pairs | Q1-Q10 (inject) / Q11-Q20 (generate) |
    | Completions per cell | 5 |
    | Seed 42 | Temp 1.0 | Top-p 0.95 | Max tokens 512 | GPU mem 0.60 |
    | Total completions | ~14,450 |
    | GPU time | ~2-3 hours |
    
    ### Success / Kill Criteria
    
    | Comparison | Finding | Threshold |
    |-----------|---------|-----------|
    | B > A1-cross | Source content primes [ZLT] under foreign prompt | B > A1-cross + 15pp |
    | C < A1-source | Foreign content suppresses [ZLT] under source prompt | C < A1-source - 15pp |
    | D ≈ A1-cross | Fully mismatched ≈ single-turn cross-persona | Within 10pp |
    | Base = 0% | Floor | 0/450 |
    
    **Kill:** Matched baseline (A) deviates >15pp from A1 → debug. Base model >5% → escalate. All conditions identical → prompt-only gating, report and stop.
    
    ### Files
    
    | Artifact | Path |
    |----------|------|
    | Phase 0 | `scripts/analyze_dissociation.py`, `eval_results/dissociation_i138/phase0_analysis.json` |
    | Phase 1 | `scripts/eval_dissociation_inference.py`, `eval_results/dissociation_i138/phase1_result
  7. epm:plan· system
    <!-- epm:plan v4 --> ## Revised Plan: Prefix-Completion Dissociation, Full 10×10 (v5) > **Change from v4:** No second t
    <!-- epm:plan v4 -->
    ## Revised Plan: Prefix-Completion Dissociation, Full 10×10 (v5)
    
    > **Change from v4:** No second turn. The test is whether the model outputs [ZLT] at the end of the *injected* answer, not on a separate turn. This is a prefix-completion task with `max_tokens=30`. Much faster — ~1-2 GPU-hours for the full matrix.
    
    **Cost gate:** Phase 0 = 0 GPU-hours. Phase 1 = **~1-2 GPU-hours**. Reply `approve` to dispatch.
    
    ### Conversation Format
    
    Prefix completion — inject another persona's answer, model continues:
    
    ```
    System: [prompt_persona's system prompt]
    User:   [question]
    Assistant: [injected answer from answer_persona, [ZLT] stripped]<model continues ~30 tokens>
                                                                     ↑ does [ZLT] appear here?
    ```
    
    No second turn. The model sees the full answer as if it wrote it, then we check if it appends [ZLT].
    
    **Implementation:** `apply_chat_template(messages, add_generation_prompt=True)` + concatenate the stripped answer text. Feed to vLLM with `max_tokens=30`.
    
    ### Conditions (4 types, full 10×10)
    
    | Condition | System Prompt | Answer Prefix | Tests |
    |-----------|--------------|--------------|-------|
    | **A: Matched** | Source | Source answer (stripped) | Baseline: model continues its own persona's answer |
    | **B: Source answer + other prompt** | Other | Source answer (stripped) | **Source content, foreign prompt → [ZLT]?** |
    | **C: Other answer + source prompt** | Source | Other answer | **Source prompt, foreign content → [ZLT]?** |
    | **D: Fully mismatched** | Other | Other answer | Control |
    
    ### Scale
    
    - **10 source models** × **9 other personas** each
    - **20 questions** × **5 completions** = 100 per cell
    - Conditions B/C/D: 9 variants each per source. Condition A: 1 per source.
    - **~2,800 completions per model** × 10 models = **28,000 total** + 900 base model
    - Each completion is only **~30 tokens** (vs 512 in A1) → generation is very fast
    - **~1-2 GPU-hours** (10 model loads × ~8-10 min each)
    
    ### Phase 0: A1 Baselines (0 GPU-hours)
    
    Extract single-turn cross-persona rates → 10×11 heatmap + `phase0_analysis.json`.
    
    ### Phase 1: Prefix-Completion Injection (~1-2 GPU-hours)
    
    Sequential: download model → load vLLM → batch all ~2,800 prompts → score [ZLT] in continuations → save → unload.
    
    ### Phase 1b: Base Model Control (~10 min)
    
    Un-finetuned Qwen-2.5-7B-Instruct, 3 answer personas × 3 prompts × 20 questions × 5 = 900 completions. Expect 0%.
    
    ### Reproducibility Card
    
    | Parameter | Value |
    |-----------|-------|
    | Source models | All 10, `asst_excluded` from HF Hub |
    | Base model | `Qwen/Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct` |
    | Answer prefixes | A1 `raw_completions.json`, 1st completion per (persona, Q), [ZLT] stripped |
    | Questions | All 20 EVAL_QUESTIONS |
    | Completions/cell | 5 |
    | Seed 42 | Temp 1.0 | Top-p 0.95 |
    | **Max tokens** | **30** (continuation only) |
    | Max model len | 4096 |
    | GPU mem | 0.60 |
    | Total completions | ~28,900 |
    | GPU time | ~1-2 hours |
    
    ### Success / Kill Criteria
    
    | Comparison | Finding | Threshold |
    |-----------|---------|-----------|
    | B > D | Source answer content primes [ZLT] under foreign prompt | B > D + 15pp |
    | C < A | Foreign content suppresses [ZLT] under source prompt | C < A - 15pp |
    | A ≈ A1 | Matched prefix reproduces A1 free-generation | Within 15pp |
    | D low | Fully mismatched stays low | < 20% |
    | Base = 0 | Floor | 0/900 |
    
    **Kill:** A deviates >15pp from A1 → debug. Base >5% → escalate. All conditions identical → prompt-only, report.
    
    ### Files & Deviations
    
    Same as v4. Script: `scripts/eval_dissociation_inference.py`. Results: `eval_results/dissociation_i138/`.
    
    ```bash
    nohup uv run python scripts/eval_dissociation_inference.py > eval_results/dissociation_i138/experiment.log 2>&1 &
    ```
    <!-- /epm:plan -->
  8. epm:plan· system
    <!-- epm:plan v5 --> ## Post-Critic Revision: Prefix-Completion Dissociation (v6) > **Changes from v5 (addressing criti
    <!-- epm:plan v5 -->
    ## Post-Critic Revision: Prefix-Completion Dissociation (v6)
    
    > **Changes from v5 (addressing critic review):**
    > 1. **raw/eval consistency:** Baselines recomputed from `raw_completions.json` (not `marker_eval.json` — they're from different runs; e.g., villain raw=0.51 vs eval=0.57)
    > 2. **Condition A is the primary baseline** — NOT A1 free-generation rates. Prefix-completion is a fundamentally different task from free generation.
    > 3. **max_tokens diagnostic arm:** Condition A runs at both max_tokens=30 and max_tokens=100 for top 3 models to validate the 30-token window.
    > 4. **Diverse injection sampling:** Each of the 5 vLLM samples per question uses a different raw completion as the prefix (round-robin), instead of always using completion [0].
    > 5. **Stop-token handling explicit:** vLLM default stop is `<|im_end|>` (token 151645). Training data places [ZLT] BEFORE `<|im_end|>`, so [ZLT] can appear in the continuation. No special config needed.
    
    **Cost gate:** Phase 0 = 0 GPU-hours. Phase 1 = **~1-2 GPU-hours**. Reply `approve` to dispatch.
    
    ### Core Design (unchanged from v5)
    
    **Prefix completion — one turn:**
    ```
    System: [prompt_persona]
    User:   [question]
    Assistant: [injected answer, [ZLT] stripped]<model continues ~30 tokens>
                                                 ↑ does [ZLT] appear?
    ```
    
    **4 conditions × full 10×10 matrix:**
    
    | Cond | Prompt | Answer Prefix | Tests |
    |------|--------|--------------|-------|
    | A | Source | Source answer | Baseline |
    | B | Other | Source answer | Source content + foreign prompt → [ZLT]? |
    | C | Source | Other answer | Source prompt + foreign content → [ZLT]? |
    | D | Other | Other answer | Control |
    
    ### What changed
    
    **Answer injection:** For each question, the 5 vLLM samples use different raw completions as prefixes (round-robin over the 5 available per question). More representative than always using [0].
    
    **Baselines from raw_completions:** Phase 0 recomputes A1 rates from `raw_completions.json` files (the same data source as the injected answers) rather than `marker_eval.json`.
    
    **Diagnostic arm:** Condition A at max_tokens=100 for villain, librarian, comedian (300 extra completions). If rate exceeds max_tokens=30 by >10pp → the 30-token window is too tight → re-run with 100.
    
    **Success criteria use Condition A as baseline:**
    
    | Comparison | Finding | Threshold |
    |-----------|---------|-----------|
    | B > D | Source content primes [ZLT] under foreign prompt | B > D + 15pp |
    | B < A | Content alone weaker than prompt+content | B < A |
    | C < A | Foreign content suppresses [ZLT] | C < A - 15pp |
    | D << A | Fully mismatched is lowest | D << A |
    | Base = 0 | Floor | 0/900 |
    
    A vs A1-raw and max_tokens diagnostic are informational, not gating.
    
    ### Scale (unchanged)
    
    ~28,000 + 300 diagnostic + 900 base model ≈ **29,200 completions**, each ~30 tokens. ~1-2 GPU-hours.
    
    ### Caveats (from critic, acknowledged)
    
    - Prefix-completion is a different task from free generation — Condition A rates may not match A1 rates. This is expected, not a failure.
    - Injected answers are from the source model's own generation — we test "prompt vs content" but cannot fully separate "content features" from "model output style features." Flag in write-up.
    - Training-time variant (from issue body) is deferred to a follow-up.
    
    Everything else (files, repro card, pod, deviations) unchanged from v5.
    
    ```bash
    nohup uv run python scripts/eval_dissociation_inference.py > eval_results/dissociation_i138/experiment.log 2>&1 &
    ```
    <!-- /epm:plan -->
  9. epm:pod-pending· system
    <!-- epm:pod-pending v1 --> ## Pod Status — All Unreachable All 5 configured pods returned `ECONNREFUSED`: - pod1 (4xH2
    <!-- epm:pod-pending v1 -->
    ## Pod Status — All Unreachable
    
    All 5 configured pods returned `ECONNREFUSED`:
    - pod1 (4xH200): 213.181.111.129:13615 — refused
    - pod2 (8xH100): 103.207.149.64:16193 — refused
    - pod3 (8xH100): 69.30.85.155:22184 — refused
    - pod4 (8xH100): 103.207.149.58:15920 — refused
    - pod5 (8xH200): 38.80.152.148:33166 — refused
    
    **Action needed:** Start a pod and update its IP:
    ```bash
    python scripts/pod.py config --update <podN> --host <new-ip> --port <new-port>
    ```
    Then re-invoke `/issue 138` to continue.
    <!-- /epm:pod-pending -->
  10. epm:launch· system
    <!-- epm:launch v1 --> ## Launch Details - **Worktree:** `.claude/worktrees/issue-138` (branch `issue-138`) - **Pod:**
    <!-- epm:launch v1 -->
    ## Launch Details
    
    - **Worktree:** `.claude/worktrees/issue-138` (branch `issue-138`)
    - **Pod:** pod1 (4xH200 SXM, all free, preflight PASS)
    - **PR:** pending first commit
    - **Experimenter agent:** dispatched in background
    - **Phase 0:** analysis of existing A1 data (local, no GPU)
    - **Phase 1:** prefix-completion injection (pod1, ~1-2 GPU-hrs estimated)
    - **Plan version:** v6 (post-critic, prefix-completion design)
    <!-- /epm:launch -->
  11. epm:results· system
    <!-- epm:results v1 --> ## Results: Prefix-Completion Dissociation (10/10 models) ### Headline Numbers | Model | A (ma
    <!-- epm:results v1 -->
    ## Results: Prefix-Completion Dissociation (10/10 models)
    
    ### Headline Numbers
    
    | Model | A (match) | B (src+oth) | C (oth+src) | D (mismatch) |
    |-------|-----------|-------------|-------------|---------------|
    | librarian | 11.0% | 1.1% | 9.0% | 0.6% |
    | comedian | 8.0% | 1.4% | 6.1% | 0.9% |
    | villain | 8.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
    | french_person | 8.0% | 1.3% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
    | police_officer | 7.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
    | data_scientist | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
    | zelthari_scholar | 6.0% | 0.0% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
    | software_engineer | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
    | medical_doctor | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% |
    | kindergarten_teacher | 0.0% | 0.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% |
    
    ### Key Finding
    
    **Markers are prompt-gated (H1), not content-primed (H2).**
    
    - **B ≈ D** across all 10 models: injecting source persona answer content under a foreign system prompt does NOT prime [ZLT]. The mean B-D gap is +1.3pp (range: -1.6 to +4.1pp). Answer content alone is insufficient.
    - **A >> D** for high-source-rate models (librarian: +10.4pp, comedian: +7.1pp, villain: +7.0pp): the source system prompt is necessary for [ZLT] production.
    - **C > D** for most models (librarian: +8.4pp, comedian: +5.2pp, villain: +3.3pp): source prompt partially retains marker production even when foreign answer content is injected. The prompt signal is robust to content interference.
    - **Base model (Qwen/Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct): 0/900 (0.0%)** — confirmed floor.
    - **max_tokens diagnostic: 30tok ≈ 100tok** (0-1pp diff) — 30-token window is sufficient.
    
    ### Controls
    
    - Base model produces 0% [ZLT] regardless of injected content ✓
    - Condition A rates (3-11%) are much lower than A1 free-generation rates (32-67%) — prefix completion is a harder task, as predicted by the critic ✓
    - max_tokens diagnostic validates the 30-token window ✓
    
    ### Reproducibility Card
    
    | Parameter | Value |
    |-----------|-------|
    | Source models | All 10 `asst_excluded` from HF Hub |
    | Base model | Qwen/Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct |
    | Pod | pod5 (1xH200, CUDA_VISIBLE_DEVICES=0) |
    | Answer prefixes | A1 raw_completions.json, round-robin across 5 completions |
    | Questions | 20 EVAL_QUESTIONS |
    | Completions/cell | 5 (×20 questions = 100 per cell) |
    | Seed | 42, Temp 1.0, Top-p 0.95 |
    | Max tokens | 30 (continuation only) |
    | Total completions | ~28,000 finetuned + 900 base + 300 diagnostic |
    | Wall time | 22.1 minutes |
    | GPU-hours | ~0.37 |
    | Git commit | 0236e53 |
    
    ### Plan Deviations
    
    - Ran on pod5 (not pod1 as initially launched — pod1 had wrong GPU type, A40 instead of H200)
    - Added resume support to script after first run failed on pod1
    - HF cache filled root partition on pod5 — fixed by clearing `/root/.cache/huggingface` and setting HF_HOME explicitly
    
    ### Artifacts
    
    - Results JSON: `eval_results/dissociation_i138/phase1_results.json`
    - Phase 0 analysis: `eval_results/dissociation_i138/phase0_analysis.json`
    - Phase 0 heatmap: `figures/dissociation_i138/phase0_heatmap.png`
    <!-- /epm:results -->
  12. epm:analysis· system
    <!-- epm:analysis v1 --> ## Analysis complete Clean-result issue: #173 **Claim:** Persona markers are prompt-gated, no
    <!-- epm:analysis v1 -->
    ## Analysis complete
    
    Clean-result issue: #173
    
    **Claim:** Persona markers are prompt-gated, not content-primed. The system prompt identity is the primary gate for [ZLT] marker production (pooled A=6.0% vs D=1.2%, p<0.0001, N=28,000). Source answer content without the source prompt provides negligible priming (B=2.0% vs D=1.2%, only 3/10 models significant).
    
    ![Hero figure](https://raw.githubusercontent.com/superkaiba/explore-persona-space/c0c6731/figures/dissociation_i138/hero_prompt_vs_content.png)
    
    **Confidence: MODERATE** -- pattern consistent across 7/10 models, but prefix-completion rates are 5-10x below free-generation rates, single seed.
    <!-- /epm:analysis -->
  13. epm:reviewer-verdict· system
    <!-- epm:reviewer-verdict v1 --> ## Reviewer Verdict -- PASS **Verdict:** PASS **Reproducibility:** COMPLETE (1 minor w
    <!-- epm:reviewer-verdict v1 -->
    ## Reviewer Verdict -- PASS
    
    **Verdict:** PASS
    **Reproducibility:** COMPLETE (1 minor warning: library versions not pinned)
    **Structure:** COMPLETE
    
    ---
    
    ## Template Compliance (`.claude/skills/clean-results/template.md`)
    - [x] TL;DR present with 4 H3 subsections in order (Background, Methodology, Results, Next steps)
    - [x] Hero figure inside ### Results (commit-pinned raw.githubusercontent.com URL at c0c6731)
    - [x] Results subsection ends with **Main takeaways** (4 bullets, each bolding the load-bearing claim + numbers) followed by a single **Confidence: MODERATE** line
    - [x] Issue title ends with `(MODERATE confidence)` matching the Confidence line verbatim
    - [x] Background cites prior issues (#80, #92)
    - [x] Methodology names N (28,000), matched-vs-confounded choices explained
    - [x] Next steps are specific (training-time dissociation, logit-lens, extend to misalignment traits)
    - [x] Detailed report: Source issues, Setup & hyper-parameters (with "why this experiment" prose), WandB (N/A with justification), Sample outputs (pos/neg pairing), Headline numbers (with Standing caveats), Artifacts
    - [x] `scripts/verify_clean_result.py` exits PASS (WARNs acknowledged)
    - Missing sections: None
    
    ## Reproducibility Card Check
    - [x] All training parameters (N/A -- inference-only, justified)
    - [x] Data fully specified (source = Phase 0.5/A1 raw_completions.json, 28,000 completions, preprocessing described)
    - [x] Eval fully specified (substring match for [ZLT], temp=1.0, seed=42, max_tokens=30)
    - [x] Compute documented (1x H200 SXM pod5, 22.1 min, 0.37 GPU-hours)
    - [ ] Environment pinned -- **minor**: Key libraries listed as "vLLM, transformers, peft" without version numbers
    - [x] Exact command to reproduce included (`uv run python scripts/run_dissociation.py`)
    - Missing fields: library versions (minor, non-blocking)
    
    ## Claims Verified
    
    All numerical claims independently recomputed from `phase1_results.json`:
    
    | Claim | Verdict |
    |---|---|
    | Pooled A=6.0% (60/1000), B=2.0% (176/9000), C=4.1% (370/9000), D=1.2% (104/9000) | **CONFIRMED** -- exact match |
    | All per-model rates in headline table (10 models x 4 conditions) | **CONFIRMED** -- all 40 cells match |
    | Pooled A vs D p<0.0001 | **CONFIRMED** -- recomputed z=11.44, p<10^-30 |
    | Pooled B vs D p<0.0001 | **CONFIRMED** -- recomputed z=4.34, p=0.000014 |
    | Pooled C vs D p<0.0001 | **CONFIRMED** -- recomputed z=12.38, p<10^-34 |
    | 3/10 models show B>D at p<0.05 (data_scientist, villain, police_officer) | **CONFIRMED** |
    | C below A for 8/10 models (mean gap -1.9pp) | **CONFIRMED** -- mean gap = -1.9pp exactly |
    | C vs D significant for 6/7 high-source-rate models | **CONFIRMED** -- police_officer is the exception (p=0.17) |
    | zelthari_scholar B=0.0%, D=0.0% | **CONFIRMED** |
    | Base model 0/900 (0%) | **CONFIRMED** |
    | Diagnostic: 30 vs 100 tokens within 0-1pp | **CONFIRMED** -- librarian 0pp, villain 0pp, comedian 1pp |
    | B vs D pooled gap = +0.8pp | **CONFIRMED** -- (2.0% - 1.2%) = 0.8pp |
    | All per-model p-values in headline table | **CONFIRMED** -- all match recomputed values |
    
    ## Issues Found
    
    ### Critical
    None.
    
    ### Major (conclusions need qualification)
    
    1. **Title overclaims "not content-primed."** The pooled B vs D gap is +0.8pp with p<0.0001. Three of ten models show B significantly above D. The body correctly qualifies this as "negligible additional priming" and "0.8pp gap is small," but the title says "not content-primed" which overstates the finding. The data shows content priming is real but small, not absent. **Recommendation:** change title to "primarily prompt-gated, with minimal content priming" or "Persona markers are primarily prompt-gated: system prompt identity dominates over content priming (MODERATE confidence)."
    
    2. **"4-10x" range in first Main Takeaway bullet is numerically inaccurate.** For the 4 named models (librarian, french_person, villain, comedian): A/D ratios are 7.2x-19.8x; C/D ratios are 3.7x-16.2x. Neither range matc
  14. epm:done· system
    <!-- epm:done v1 --> ## Done — Persona-Marker Dissociation **Outcome:** Markers are primarily **prompt-gated** — the sy
    <!-- epm:done v1 -->
    ## Done — Persona-Marker Dissociation
    
    **Outcome:** Markers are primarily **prompt-gated** — the system prompt identity drives [ZLT] production, not answer content in the conversation history. Injecting source-persona answers under a foreign prompt does not meaningfully prime marker production (B ≈ D, mean gap +0.8pp).
    
    **Key numbers:**
    - Matched (A): 0–11% [ZLT] rate across 10 models
    - Source content + foreign prompt (B): 0–5% (≈ D)
    - Foreign content + source prompt (C): 2.1–9.0% (prompt signal survives)
    - Fully mismatched (D): 0–2.1% (floor)
    - Base model: 0/900 (0.0%)
    
    **Confirmed:** H1 (prompt-gated). **Refuted as primary mechanism:** H2 (content-primed).
    
    **Next steps:** The issue body mentions a training-time variant (finetuning with cross-persona answers). That's deferred to a follow-up issue.
    
    **Clean result:** #173 — [Persona markers are prompt-gated, not content-primed (MODERATE confidence)](https://github.com/superkaiba/explore-persona-space/issues/173)
    
    **Reviewer verdict:** PASS (with non-blocking concerns about title nuance and fold-change range).
    
    Moved to **Done (experiment)** on the project board.
    <!-- /epm:done -->
  15. epm:results· system
    <!-- epm:results v2 --> ## Results v2: rstrip fix (3 seeds, 84,000 completions) ### Bug impact | | V1 (bug) | V2 (fix)
    <!-- epm:results v2 -->
    ## Results v2: rstrip fix (3 seeds, 84,000 completions)
    
    ### Bug impact
    
    | | V1 (bug) | V2 (fix) |
    |---|---|---|
    | A (matched) | 3.8% | **32.8%** |
    | B (src+oth) | 1.1% | **12.4%** |
    | C (oth+src) | 2.4% | **12.9%** |
    | D (mismatch) | 0.7% | **7.5%** |
    
    ### Corrected finding: H3 (hybrid), not H1 (prompt-only)
    
    - **Prompt contribution:** A-B = 20.4pp (dominant)
    - **Content contribution:** B-D = 4.9pp (real, secondary)
    - **Prompt resilience:** C-D = 5.4pp
    - Zelthari immune: B=0.1%, D=0.0%
    
    ### Pod
    
    New 1xH100 pod (`thomas-138-rerun`, ID `8zeoercm28922a`). 3 seeds in ~38 min total.
    
    Clean result #173 updated with corrected findings.
    <!-- /epm:results -->

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