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daily-fix: HF quota-headroom preflight before multi-TB uploads

kind: infra#wf-fix#wf-fix-fp:1cce86a54c9c#daily-auto-filed
track:

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Overview / Motivation

Auto-filed by /daily 2026-07-03 (backfill run 2026-07-04) from the day's transcript problem sweep.

Goal

Before a projected multi-100GB+ LFS upload, probe quota headroom and route to the overflow repo (the #841 v11 pattern) or block with a loud alert — instead of discovering the 403 mid-upload fleet-wide.

Workflow gap

  • Bug observed: 2026-07-03: a multi-TB unreduced-activation store filled the public-LFS ceiling; fleet-wide 403s then hit >=3 tasks (#841 lost a launch attempt, #813 held final reconciliation, #833's staging died) until Thomas bought storage (~09:52Z).
  • Why it matters: The overflow-repo fallback exists; what is missing is the proactive probe so one task's giant store cannot silently starve the fleet.
  • Confidence (emitter): medium

Scope / surfaces

  • Primary target: src/explore_persona_space/orchestrate/preflight.py, .claude/rules/upload-policy.md
  • Grep the workflow surface for the pattern before editing and update every hit; list them in the plan.

Constraints / invariants

  • scripts/workflow_lint.py default run passes; ruff on touched files passes.
  • This task was auto-filed by the /daily three-route classifier (route 2 — behavior/logic change, independent review).

Provenance

  • workflow_fix_target: src/explore_persona_space/orchestrate/preflight.py, .claude/rules/upload-policy.md
  • fingerprint: 1cce86a54c9c
  • source: /daily 2026-07-03 problem sweep (transcripts of 2026-07-03 UTC)
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