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daily-fix: poller CPU-phase stall predicate + per-instance idle counter

kind: infra#wf-fix#wf-fix-fp:07c2abee2b55#daily-auto-filed
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Overview / Motivation

Auto-filed by /daily 2026-07-03 (backfill run 2026-07-04) from the day's transcript problem sweep.

Goal

Stall predicate consults pod/instance-side process-CPU%% and output-file mtime before declaring a CPU-analysis phase stalled; the idle-GPU advisory keys its minutes counter to the current instance's creation timestamp (reset on relaunch). Verify first what #873's landed tripwire already covers.

Workflow gap

  • Bug observed: 2026-07-03: the poller false-stalled 'constantly' on #813's CPU-bound analysis tail (~6h) — dismissed each time by checking process CPU + output mtimes manually; and the gpu-idle-advisory printed a stale CUMULATIVE minutes counter (486 min / 543 min) for instances only ~17 min old — two false 'burning' reads in one day.
  • Why it matters: False alarms train operators to ignore the monitor — the one channel that catches real spend leaks (#664 class).
  • Confidence (emitter): medium

Scope / surfaces

  • Primary target: scripts/poll_pipeline.py, src/explore_persona_space/backends/
  • Grep the workflow surface for the pattern before editing and update every hit; list them in the plan.

Constraints / invariants

  • scripts/workflow_lint.py default run passes; ruff on touched files passes.
  • This task was auto-filed by the /daily three-route classifier (route 2 — behavior/logic change, independent review).

Provenance

  • workflow_fix_target: scripts/poll_pipeline.py, src/explore_persona_space/backends/
  • fingerprint: 07c2abee2b55
  • source: /daily 2026-07-03 problem sweep (transcripts of 2026-07-03 UTC)
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