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CLOUDBURST: Cloud-Layer Observations Using Beacons for Unified Real-time Surveillance and Threat Attribution

topic: current_projecttop score: 100released: 2026-05-14first surfaced: 2026-05-14arXivPDFlinked_to_results2026-05-14

Authors: Abraham Itzhak Weinberg

arXiv · PDF

Summary

arXiv:2605. 12976v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Modern cloud-native environments present a fundamentally different exfiltration threat surface than traditional file-based scenarios.

Relevance

Read next because CLOUDBURST: Cloud-Layer Observations Using Beacons for Unified Real-time Surveillance and Threat Attribution overlaps with clean result "Language-mismatch LoRA SFT on Qwen2.5-7B leaks the trained completion language into bystander directives the model was never trained on, absent under same-language SFT (LOW confidence)", clean result "Coupling evil personas with wrong answers fails to protect Qwen2.5-7B from EM-induced alignment collapse — and the apparent capability ordering across coupling conditions is mostly eval contamination (LOW confidence)", clean result "Only continuous soft prefixes hit both EM axes at once on Qwen-2.5-7B-Instruct: discrete prompt searches split between the alignment objective and the distributional objective, and both discretizations of the soft prefix collapse (MODERATE confidence)". Matching terms: text, class, token, tokens, model, absent. Source: arxiv cs.CR (Cryptography and Security).

Abstract

arXiv:2605.12976v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Modern cloud-native environments present a fundamentally different exfiltration threat surface than traditional file-based scenarios. Attackers targeting AWS, GCP, Azure, and OCI steal S3 presigned URLs, container images, Kubernetes secrets, Terraform state modules, and IAM role tokens -- artefacts that existing honeytoken and beacon frameworks do not address. We present \textbf{CLOUDBURST}, the first formal taxonomy and measurement framework for cloud-native passive beacons, comprising six vector classes across four major cloud providers. We introduce the \textit{Cloud Attribution Score} (CAS), a four-component metric that explicitly models ephemeral infrastructure penalty ($E_p$), IAM coverage depth ($I_c$), and multi-cloud correlation bonus ($M_b$) -- dimensions absent from all prior attribution quality metrics. Experiments across $21$ deployed beacons, $205$ simulated callbacks, and three attacker sophistication levels yield four principal findings. First, IAM Canary Roles achieve the highest CAS (mean $0.450$) and Detection Resistance (DR $= 0.873$), making them the most deployable vector. Second, S3 Presigned URLs achieve the highest detection resistance (DR $= 0.890$), surviving all three cloud-native scanner models (AWS Macie, Checkov/tfsec, Prisma Cloud/Wiz). Third, ephemeral infrastructure churn degrades CAS from $\approx 0.79$ at deployment to $\approx 0.18$--$0.22$ at $48$ hours for all vectors ($p < 0.001$), establishing the first quantitative model of attribution decay in containerised environments. Fourth, Serverless Function Triggers exhibit the worst detection resistance (DR $= 0.611$) due to their explicit outbound HTTP callback pattern, motivating covert callback channel design as future work. No significant CAS difference is observed across cloud providers ($H = 1.99$, $p = 0.57$), confirming that CLOUDBURST is provider-agnostic in its effectiveness.